Forex Fundamental Analysis – Uncertainty about the Bank of Japan

USDJPY – Down

USDJPY:

The Japanese yen (JPY) appreciated against its US counterpart during Tuesday’s Asian session, partially recovering from the previous day’s decline to its lowest level since late July. The recent verbal intervention from the Japanese authorities, coupled with a slight deterioration in global risk sentiment, have been instrumental in providing support to the safe-haven yen. However, the potential for gains for the yen is constrained by uncertainty surrounding the timing and pace of further interest rate hikes by the Bank of Japan (BoJ).

Meanwhile, concerns over the possibility of a widening budget deficit following the US presidential election on 5 November and bets on a less aggressive easing policy from the Federal Reserve (Fed) have pushed US Treasury yields to their highest levels in almost three months. This could result in significant appreciation of the Japanese Yen being contained. In addition, the underlying bullish tone on the US Dollar (USD) supports the prospects of some dip-buying in the USD/JPY pair.

Trade recommendation: Trading predominantly Buy orders from the current price level.

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